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Suppose you are interested in predicting the three-month government bond rate based on factors listed in the excel file intdef.xls. The definition of the variables

Suppose you are interested in predicting the three-month government bond rate based on factors listed in the excel file intdef.xls.

The definition of the variables of interest is presented in the table below:

Variable

Definition / Unit

I3

three-month government bond rate.

inf

inflation rate based on the consumer price index.

def

government budget deficit as a percentage of the GDP.

Consider the following model:

I3t = B0 + B1inft +B2deft +ut

B1. Test the hypothesis in part 8 using Durbin Watson test. What do you conclude?(3 marks)

B2. What are the limitations for Durbin Watson test for autocorrelation?(2 marks)

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