Question
Suppose you are interested in predicting the three-month government bond rate based on factors listed in the excel file intdef.xls. The definition of the variables
Suppose you are interested in predicting the three-month government bond rate based on factors listed in the excel file intdef.xls.
The definition of the variables of interest is presented in the table below:
Variable | Definition / Unit |
I3 | three-month government bond rate. |
inf | inflation rate based on the consumer price index. |
def | government budget deficit as a percentage of the GDP. |
Consider the following model:
I3t = B0 + B1inft +B2deft +ut
B1. Test the hypothesis in part 8 using Durbin Watson test. What do you conclude?(3 marks)
B2. What are the limitations for Durbin Watson test for autocorrelation?(2 marks)
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