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Suppose your team (UF Women's Basketball Team) trails by two points against University of Connecticut with 8 seconds to go and has the ball. Your
Suppose your team (UF Women's Basketball Team) trails by two points against University of Connecticut with 8 seconds to go and has the ball. Your assistant coach Victor suggests to attempt 3-point shot because the probability of winning the game with shooting a 2-point shot is lower (0.45 x 0.50 = 0.225 or 22.5%) than a 3-point shot (0.300 or 30%) based on the assumptions below. What is your decision? Should your team attempt a two-point shot or a three-point shot? What other factors might you need to consider? Assumption 1: UF shot will end the game and that no foul will occur on the shot. Assumption 2: UF's 3-point shot historically has a 30% chance of success; 2-point shot has a 45% chance of success in most recent 5 games. Assumption 3: UF has 50% chance of winning in overtime because this is your home game
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