Question
***** Tables are nice, but would be great if i could see how things are calculated without tables***** Suppose that the installed cost of a
***** Tables are nice, but would be great if i could see how things are calculated without tables*****
Suppose that the installed cost of a commercial solar hot water heating system is $25,000 and the annual fuel cost saving is $1,500. Assume (counter factually) that fuel cost savings accrue as a single sum at the end of each year. The cost of the solar system is incurred at the end of year 0 (or the very beginning of year1). The system lasts for 30 years, after which time, its value is zero.
(a) What is the net present value of the investment at 12%? At 6%? Hint: use formula 4, or annuity discount factors from Table A.4.
(b) As an alternative to Net Present Value, we can annualize the cost of the solar system and compare this figure with annual fuel cost savings. What is the annualized cost of the solar system at 12%? At 6%? Hint: use formula 9, or the reciprocal of the discount factors found from table A.4.
What is the net annualized value (annualized benefit minus annualized cost) of the solar system at 12? At 6%? Note: If you now derive the present value of net annualized values, the answer should be the same as your answer in Part (a).
(c) Suppose fuel cost savings (FCS) escalate at the rate of interest, i.e., FCS1=1500(1+R); FCS2=1500(1+R)2. Now what is the net present value of the solar system at a 12% interest rate?
(d) Go back to the fuel cost assumptions in part (a) and (b). We know that there are important social benefits to fossil fuel savings in the form of reduced CO2, SOX, and NOX emissions. Measuring these benefits in dollar terms, what would their value have to be (adding this value to the original fuel savings benefit) for the solar system to break even at 12%? At 6%? Hint: the answer can be found in Part (b).
(e) Suppose we determine that the annual social cost of the fossil fuel the solar system displaces is 40% of its market price. We place a 40% tax on fossil fuel, increasing the value of fuel savings to the private investor by 1.4. Is the solar system competitive (now that we have internalized the social damage in the fuel oil at 12%? At 6%?
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