Question
The accounts of 2,500 credit card customers out of a sample of 35,000 that were reviewed did not perform satisfactorily. The credit scores assigned to
The accounts of 2,500 credit card customers out of a sample of 35,000 that were reviewed did not perform satisfactorily. The credit scores assigned to these applicants when originally assessed had a mean of 70 and standard deviation of 8. The scores of the remaining customers had a mean of 85 and a standard deviation of 12. Assuming these distributions are approximately normal, if the cut-off score was revised upward to 80.
- Complete the following table:
| Creditworthiness | |
High | Low | |
Mean credit score | 85 | 70 |
Standard deviation of credit score | 12 | 8 |
Probability of receiving credit (%) |
|
|
Probability of being denied credit (%) |
|
|
(ii) The original default rate on the sample of 35,000 card holders was extremely high at 7.14%. What impact would be setting the cut-off at 80 have on the default rate? Show calculations.
iii) Based on the credit evaluation process. Complete the following table and identify the Type I and Type II errors. All quadrants need to be identified.
Analysed credit quality |
| Actual credit quality
| |
Good
| Bad | ||
Good |
|
| |
Bad |
|
|
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