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The accounts of 3,500 credit card customers out of a sample of 45,000 that were reviewed did not perform satisfactorily. The credit scores assigned to

The accounts of 3,500 credit card customers out of a sample of 45,000 that were reviewed did not perform satisfactorily. The credit scores assigned to these applicants when originally assessed had a mean of 70 and a standard deviation of 8. The scores of the remaining customers had a mean of 85 and a standard deviation of 12. Assuming these distributions are approximately normal if the cut-off score was revised upward to 82.

  1. Complete the following table:

Creditworthiness

High

Low

Mean credit score

85

70

Standard deviation of credit score

12

8

Probability of receiving credit (%)

Probability of being denied credit (%)

(ii) The original default rate on the sample of 45,000 card holders was extremely high at approximately 7.8%. What impact would setting the cut-off at 82 have on the default rate? Show calculations.

(iii) Based on the credit evaluation process. Do you suggest the revised cutoff to 82 be adopted? Why?

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