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The City Department of Health has found out that a very infectious strain of influenza (transmission probability 0.3) is likely to hit soon for which

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The City Department of Health has found out that a very infectious strain of influenza (transmission probability 0.3) is likely to hit soon for which the current vaccine is not effective. So far the DOH think about 100 people in the city have been infected. We know that influenza illness usually lasts for an average of 5 days and for every 1000 people who get influenza 1 person requires intensive care for 2 days. The population in the city is 80,000. The Ro (the basic reproductive rate) for this strain of influenza has initially been estimated to be 4. Using the SIR model in the Excel spreadsheet on Blackboard here to answer following questions. Hint make sure you parameterize the model correctly before you start. My video posted inside Week 13 Assignment folder may help Q1) What is the likely contact rate for this epidemic of influenza? Provide a justification for your answer and show any work. (1 point)

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