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The company Riskalot has assets with a current value of $120. The value of assets at future moments in time is normally distributed. One week
The company Riskalot has assets with a current value of $120. The value of assets at future moments in time is normally distributed. One week from now the value of assets will be normally distributed with a mean of $121 and a variance of 144.
- (a)What is the 1% Value-at-Risk level on a 4-week horizon?
- (b)Suppose the value of Riskalot's assets are perfectly positively correlated with the gold price. Riskalot also has a debt issue outstanding with a principal value of $100, due to be repaid in one year's time. What would you advise Riskalot's CFO to do to ensure that the company will be able to repay its debt?
- (c)Riskalot's CEO likes simplicity in the management reports she receives to make decisions about the future of the company. She's proposing to use Value-at-Risk as the only risk measure moving forward. Based on what you know about Riskalot's balance sheet, do you agree with her? Why or why not?
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