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The current spot exchange rate is $1.95/ and the three-month forward rate is $1.90/. Based on your analysis of the exchange rate, you are pretty
The current spot exchange rate is $1.95/ and the three-month forward rate is $1.90/. Based on your analysis of the exchange rate, you are pretty confident that the spot exchange rate will be $1.85/ in three months. Assume that you would like to buy or sell 1,000,000.
- What actions do you need to take to speculate in the forward market? What is the expected dollar profit from speculation?
- What would be your speculative profit in dollar terms if the spot exchange rate actually turns out to be $1.93/.
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