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The current value of a portfolio is $23 million. Scenario analysis produces an expected return of 30.7%, and a standard deviation of 36.7%, and an

The current value of a portfolio is $23 million. Scenario analysis produces an expected return of 30.7%, and a standard deviation of 36.7%, and an empirical value at risk (VaR) at the 5% level of -56.5%. A value that is 1.64485 standard deviations below the mean in a normal distribution corresponds to a VaR of 5%. Which of the following statements accurately characterizes the portfolio:

A. The VaR under the normal distribution is -19 .8% and the distribution does not appear to be normal.

B. The VaR under the normal distribution is -29.67% and the distribution appears to be normal.

C. The VaR under the normal distribution is -25.1%6 and the distribution appears to be normal.

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