Question
The elapsed time (in minutes) between the arrival of west-bound trains at the St. George subway station is an exponential random variable with a value
The elapsed time (in minutes) between the arrival of west-bound trains
at the St. George subway station is an exponential random variable with a
value of ? = .2.
a) What are the expected value and variance of X?
b) What is the probability that 10 or more minutes will elapse between
consecutive west-bound trains?
c) What is the probability that 10 or more minutes will elapse between
trains, given that at least 8 minutes have already passed since the previous train arrived? Hint: What proportion of the probability weight
that remains, given that a waiting time of less than 8 minutes is no
longer possible, lies in the interval 8 minutes to 10 minutes?
17. The number of houses sold each month by a top real estate agent is a
Poisson random variable X with ? = 4.
a) What are the expected value and standard deviation of X
John Daly is among the best putters on the PGA golf tour. He sinks 10
percent of all puts that are of length 20 feet or more. In a typical round of
golf, John will face puts of 20 feet or longer 9 times. What is the probability
that John will sink 2 or more of these 9 puts? What is the probability that
he will sink 2 or more, given that he sinks one? Hint: If we know he is going
to sink at least one then the only remaining possibilities are that he will sink
only that one or two or more. What fraction of the remaining probability
weight (excluding the now impossible event that he sinks zero) falls on the
event 'two or more'.
12. Let X and Y be two random variables. Derive formulae for E{X + Y },
E{X ? Y }, ?
2{X + Y }, and ?
2{X ? Y }. Under what conditions does
?
2{X + Y } = ?
2{X ? Y }?
13. According to the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), the chances of your
tax return being audited are about 6 in 1000 if your income is less than
$50,000, 10 in 1000 if your income is between $50,000 and $99,999, and 49
in 1000 if your income is $100,000 or more (Statistical Abstract of the United
States: 1995.
a) What is the probability that a taxpayer with income less than $50,000
will be audited by the IRS? With income between $50,000 and $99,999?
With income of $100,000 or more?
b) If we randomly pick five taxpayers with incomes under $50,000, what
is the probability that one of them will be audited? That more than
one will be audited? Hint: What are n and p here?
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