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The Excel file Closing Stock Prices provides data for four stocks and the Dow Jones Industrial Average over a one-month period. a. Develop a spreadsheet
The Excel file Closing Stock Prices provides data for four stocks and the Dow Jones Industrial Average over a one-month period.
a. Develop a spreadsheet model for forecasting each of the stock prices using simple exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of 0.3.
b. Compare your results to the output from Excels Data Analysis tool.
c. Compute MAD, MSE, and MAPE.
d. Does a smoothing constant of 0.1 or 0.5 yield better results?
Closing Stock Prices | ||||||
Date | IBM | INTC | CSCO | GE | DJ Industrials | |
9/3/2010 | 127.58 | 18.43 | 21.04 | 15.392 | 10447.93 | |
9/7/2010 | 125.95 | 18.12 | 20.58 | 15.44 | 10340.69 | |
9/8/2010 | 126.08 | 17.9 | 20.64 | 15.7 | 10387.01 | |
9/9/2010 | 126.36 | 18 | 20.61 | 15.91 | 10415.24 | |
9/10/2010 | 127.99 | 17.97 | 20.62 | 15.98 | 10462.77 | |
9/13/2010 | 129.61 | 18.557 | 21.26 | 16.25 | 10544.13 | |
9/14/2010 | 128.85 | 18.74 | 21.45 | 16.16 | 10526.49 | |
9/15/2010 | 129.43 | 18.72 | 21.59 | 16.34 | 10572.73 | |
9/16/2010 | 129.67 | 18.97 | 21.93 | 16.23 | 10594.83 | |
9/17/2010 | 130.19 | 18.81 | 21.863 | 16.29 | 10607.85 | |
9/20/2010 | 131.79 | 18.93 | 21.75 | 16.55 | 10753.62 | |
9/21/2010 | 131.98 | 19.14 | 21.64 | 16.52 | 10761.03 | |
9/22/2010 | 132.57 | 19.01 | 21.67 | 16.5 | 10739.31 | |
9/23/2010 | 131.67 | 18.98 | 21.53 | 16.14 | 10662.42 | |
9/24/2010 | 134.11 | 19.423 | 22.09 | 16.66 | 10860.26 | |
9/27/2010 | 134.65 | 19.235 | 22.11 | 16.43 | 10812.04 | |
9/28/2010 | 134.89 | 19.505 | 21.863 | 16.44 | 10858.14 | |
9/29/2010 | 135.48 | 19.24 | 21.87 | 16.36 | 10835.28 | |
9/30/2010 | 134.14 | 19.2 | 21.9 | 16.25 | 10788.05 | |
10/1/2010 | 135.64 | 19.32 | 21.91 | 16.36 | 10829.68 | |
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