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The expected monetary value, or EMV, for any decision is a weighted average of the possible payoffs for this decision, weighted by the probabilities of
The expected monetary value, or EMV, for any decision is a weighted average of the possible payoffs for this decision, weighted by the probabilities of the outcomes. Decision : PayoffCost per alternative of $ $$ with probabilities respectively of Decision : PayoffCost per alternative of $$ with probabilities respectively of and Decision : A fixed PayoffCost of $aDraw a decision tree.bCreate a decision payoff table and calculate the EMV.cMake decision recommendation. What are the risks?Objective: To use the EMV criterion to help Acme decide whether to go ahead with the product. Acmes cost accountants estimate the monetary inputs: the fixed costs $ and the unit margin $ The uncertain sales volume is really a continuous variable but, as in many decision problems, Acme has replaced the continuum by three representative possibilities: great units, fair units, and awful units. aDraw a decision tree.bCreate a decision payoff table and calculate the EMV.cMake decision recommendation. What are the risks?
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