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The expected monetary value, or EMV, for any decision is a weighted average of the possible payoffs for this decision, weighted by the probabilities of

The expected monetary value, or EMV, for any decision is a weighted average of the possible payoffs for this decision, weighted by the probabilities of the outcomes. Decision 1: Payoff/Cost per alternative of $50,000, $10,000-$5,000 with probabilities respectively of 0.1,0.2,0.7.Decision 2: Payoff/Cost per alternative of $5,000,-$1,000 with probabilities respectively of 0.6 and 0.4.Decision 3: A fixed Payoff/Cost of $3,000.a.Draw a decision tree.b.Create a decision payoff table and calculate the EMV.c.Make decision recommendation. What are the risks?2.Objective: To use the EMV criterion to help Acme decide whether to go ahead with the product. Acmes cost accountants estimate the monetary inputs: the fixed costs ($6,000) and the unit margin ($18). The uncertain sales volume is really a continuous variable but, as in many decision problems, Acme has replaced the continuum by three representative possibilities: great (45%)600,000 units, fair (35%)300,000 units, and awful (20%)90,000 units. a.Draw a decision tree.b.Create a decision payoff table and calculate the EMV.c.Make decision recommendation. What are the risks?

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