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The following table shows the nominal interest rate for U.S. Treasury bonds with different maturities in September between 2020 and 2022: Time 6 mouths 1

The following table shows the nominal interest rate for U.S. Treasury bonds with different maturities in September between 2020 and 2022:

Time

6 mouths

1 year

2 year

3 year

5 year

7 year

10 year

20 year

30 year

30/09/20

0.11

0.12

0.13

0.16

0.28

0.47

0.69

1.23

1.46

30/09/21

0.05

0.09

0.28

0.53

0.98

1.32

1.52

2.02

2.08

30/09/22

3.92

4.05

4.22

4.25

4.06

3.97

3.83

4.08

3.79

Use the liquidity premium theory to answer the following questions:

(a) According to the table, what is the market predicting about the movement of future short[1]term interest rates in each of the three periods? Explain your answer using the shape of the yield curve.

(b) In September 2021, the spread between the six-month and 10-year Treasury bonds is the highest out of three years. Why is that the case?

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