Question
The following table shows the nominal interest rate for U.S. Treasury bonds with different maturities in September between 2020 and 2022: Time 6 mouths 1
The following table shows the nominal interest rate for U.S. Treasury bonds with different maturities in September between 2020 and 2022:
Time | 6 mouths | 1 year | 2 year | 3 year | 5 year | 7 year | 10 year | 20 year | 30 year |
30/09/20 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.28 | 0.47 | 0.69 | 1.23 | 1.46 |
30/09/21 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.28 | 0.53 | 0.98 | 1.32 | 1.52 | 2.02 | 2.08 |
30/09/22 | 3.92 | 4.05 | 4.22 | 4.25 | 4.06 | 3.97 | 3.83 | 4.08 | 3.79 |
Use the liquidity premium theory to answer the following questions:
(a) According to the table, what is the market predicting about the movement of future short[1]term interest rates in each of the three periods? Explain your answer using the shape of the yield curve.
(b) In September 2021, the spread between the six-month and 10-year Treasury bonds is the highest out of three years. Why is that the case?
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