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The Futures market for a Consumption Commodity is said to be in (technical) Backwardation when: the curve of Futures prices is upward sloping, i.e.

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The Futures market for a Consumption Commodity is said to be in (technical) Backwardation when: the curve of Futures prices is upward sloping, i.e. further out maturities trade at higher prices than closer maturity contracts storage cost is significant Futures contracts on a commodity trade below fair value and this mispricing persists as it is not corrected via arbitrage trading the Convenience Yield is zero

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