Question
The international bank UBS regularly produces a report (UBS, 2009) on prices and earnings in major cities throughout the world. Three of the measures they
The international bank UBS regularly produces a report (UBS, 2009) on prices and
earnings in major cities throughout the world. Three of the measures they include are
prices of 1kg of rice, a 1kg loaf of bread and the price of a Big Mac. An interesting
feature of the prices they report is measured in the minutes of labor required for a
'typical' worker in that location to earn enough money to purchase the commodity.
Using minutes of labor corrects at least in in part for currency flfluctuations, prevailing
wage rates, and local prices. The data fifile includes measurements for rice, bread and big
mac from the 2003 and 2009 reports. The year 2003 was before the GFC and the year
2009 which is after the GFC and so would reflflect changes in prices due to this recession.
You may access the dataset from the 'ALR4' package and load the data from this
package using the data(UBSprices) command.
(a)
[5 marks] Plot a scatterplot of Big Mac prices with year 2003 as the predictor
variable. Add a line for y = x to this plot. How would you interpret points that
are on this line, above the line and below the line?
(b)
[5 marks] Identify the cities which you consider to have the highest increase or
decrease in the Big Mac price. You will fifind these R functions very useful for this
step: identify() and row.names().
(c)
[10 marks] Is a linear model the right one to fifit the Big Mac price data? If not,
what variable transformations would you consider appropriate? Give justifification
for your choice of transformation.
(d)
[20 marks] Fit a linear model with your chosen transformation using OLS estima
tion method. Write out the mathematical expression for the functional form of
your model using both the transformed variables and the untransformed original
variables. Interpret the effffect of coeffiffifficients on the untransformed response variable
in the untransformed version of the regression model.
(e)
[10 marks] Produce the ANOVA (Analysis of Variance) table for the SLR model
and interpret the results of the F-test. What is the coeffiffifficient of determination for
this model and how should you interpret this summary measure?
(f)
[10 marks] Assess the model fifit for the assumptions of a Normal Error Regression
Model. Are there any inflfluential points in your regression model and if yes, identify
these cities and the type of inflfluence they have on the model fifit.
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