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The Lowlands publishing company has decided to launch a new magazine for financial special-ists with the brand new title The Daily Financial Times. The problem

The Lowlands publishing company has decided to launch a new magazine for financial special-ists with the brand new title The Daily Financial Times. The problem is that this has not been done before. The Lowlands management does not have a clue how many copies will be sold and they think it will be somewhere between 60 000 and 120 000 copies. The magazine sells for 4 and the variable cost to print is 1.20. Unsold magazines are destroyed. Required:

1. Prepare a results matrix (or pay-off table) for different levels of demand: 60 000, 80 000, 100 000 and 120 000.

2. Suppose Lowlands management wants to avoid being blamed afterwards for having selected the wrong production plan, what production level should they then choose?

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3. What strategy should be chosen if management wants to maximise the expected value of future strategies?

4. What is the Expected Value of Perfect Information?

\begin{tabular}{ll} \hline Demand & p(Demand) \\ \hline 60000 & 0.20 \\ 80000 & 0.30 \\ 100000 & 0.30 \\ 120000 & 0.20 \\ \hline \end{tabular}

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