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The Management of Ore must choose whether to go ahead with either of two mutually exclusive projects, A and B . The payoff of projects
The Management of Ore must choose whether to go ahead with either of two mutually exclusive projects, A and B The payoff of projects depend on the eventual demand condition which will be strong with probability and weak with If the company invests in Project A they will earn $ if there is strong demand and will lose $ if there is weak demand. If the company invests in Project B they will earn $ if there is strong demand and will earn $ if there is weak demand.
a Calculate the value of perfect information of an expert which tells the company eventual demand condition with accuracy prior to the decision on investment.
Now assume that, in the past, the expert has predicted strong demand of the time and were correct in those cases. In those cases the expert predicted weak demand they were correct of the time. Calculate the expected value of imperfect information.
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