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The Management of Ore must choose whether to go ahead with either of two mutually exclusive projects, A and B . The payoff of projects

The Management of Ore must choose whether to go ahead with either of two mutually exclusive projects, A and B. The payoff of projects depend on the eventual demand condition which will be strong with probability 30% and weak with 70%. If the company invests in Project A they will earn $4000 if there is strong demand and will lose $1000 if there is weak demand. If the company invests in Project B they will earn $1500 if there is strong demand and will earn $500 if there is weak demand.
a) Calculate the value of perfect information of an expert which tells the company eventual demand condition with 100% accuracy prior to the decision on investment.
Now assume that, in the past, the expert has predicted strong demand 25% of the time and were correct 72% in those cases. In those cases the expert predicted weak demand they were correct 84% of the time. Calculate the expected value of imperfect information.

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