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The management of Zincronium plc plans to produce 2 0 0 , 0 0 0 of zinc pounds next year provided that the economic conditions

The management of Zincronium plc plans to produce 200,000 of zinc pounds next year provided that the economic conditions prove to be favourable. The extraction cost is estimated to be EURO 1.70 per pound. The management is forecasting two possible zinc prices next year, depending on the level of demand: either (a) EURO 1.10 per pound in the case that demand will be low, or (b) EURO 2 per pound if the high demand state of nature will be realised. At the moment, the year one zinc forward contract price is trading at EURO 1.30 with the one-year risk free interest rate at the 6% level. Calculate the value of this mine using the tracking portfolio approach.

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