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The owner of the Chocolate Outlet Store wants to forecast chocolate demand. Demand for the preceding four years is shown in the following table: YEAR

The owner of the Chocolate Outlet Store wants to forecast chocolate demand. Demand for the preceding four years is shown in the following table:

YEAR DEMAND (POUNDS)
1 68,800
2 71,000
3 75,500
4 71,200

Forecast demand for year 5 using the following approaches: (1) a three-year moving average; (2) a three-year weighted moving average using 0.40 for year 4, 0.20 for year 3, and 0.40 for year 2; and (3) exponential smoothing with = 0.30, and assuming the forecast for period 1 = 68,000.

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