Question
The quarterly investors call is approaching and you were asked to comment on the EPS and projected EPS based on the growth forecast of 10%.
The quarterly investors call is approaching and you were asked to comment on the EPS and projected EPS based on the growth forecast of 10%.
(a) Compute the EPS for the calendar year of 2016
(b) What is the projected EPS with 10% sales growth?
You are a bit skeptical of the projected 10% growth in sales and decided to look at a much less aggressive long-run growth scenario of 3.5% growth in sales.
(c) What is the projected EPS for a 3.5% growth in sales? If the dividend payout ratio remains the same, how much is paid per share?
As some external financing will be needed to accommodate any growth, you started looking into raising debt and/or equity. Since your company would be mostly described as a small- cap US company, you looked at market data to help you determine your costs of equity and debt.
(d) What should be the risk premium for appropriate market for your company? Assume the risk free is given by 1mo Treasury Bills.
(e) Looking at historical stock market data, you determined that your beta is roughly 1.4 with respect to the market benchmark you used above to compute the risk premium. What should your cost of equity be?
(f) In order to get a little more comfortable with the number computed above, you decided to look at the cost of equity using the dividend growth corresponding to the 3.5% growth scenario from (c). What is the cost of equity using this approach?
In order to determine your cost of debt, you decided to look at your long term debt, which is structured as a single 20yr bond with semi-annual coupons, a coupon rate of 10%, and is currently trading at 105%.
(g) What is your cost of debt?
4
(h) What is your after-tax cost of debt?
Your CEO is interested in knowing what is the minimum return the company should generate to make sure investors are satisfied, but is not sure which number to focus on.
(i) What measure should you propose and how would you explain it to your CEO? (j) What is the value for the proposed measure?
Income Statement 2016 | |||||
Sales | $43,000,000 | Taxes: | 40% | ||
COGS | $30,000,000 | ||||
Other expenses | $5,000,000 | Shares Outstanding | 1,000,000 | ||
Depreciation | $2,000,000 | Market-to-Book Ratio | 1.25 | ||
EBIT | $6,000,000 | ||||
Interest | $2,000,000 | ||||
Taxable income | $4,000,000 | ||||
Taxes (40%) | $1,600,000 | ||||
Net income | $2,400,000 | ||||
Dividends | $600,000 | ||||
Add to RE | $1,800,000 | ||||
Balance Sheet, Dec 31, 2016 | |||||
Assets | Liabilities & Owners Equity | ||||
Current Assets | Current Liabilities | ||||
Cash | $500,000 | Accounts Payable | $1,000,000 | ||
Accounts Receivable | $1,000,000 | Notes Payable | $3,000,000 | ||
Inventory | $2,000,000 | Total CL | $4,000,000 | ||
Total CA | $3,500,000 | Long Term Debt | $10,000,000 | ||
Fixed Assets | Owners Equity | ||||
Net PP&E | $25,000,000 | Common Stock | $6,500,000 | ||
Retained Earnings | $8,000,000 | ||||
Total Equity | $14,500,000 | ||||
Total Assets | $28,500,000 | Total L & OE | $28,500,000 |
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