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The recidivism rate for convicted sex offenders is 14%.A warden suspects that this percent is lower if the sex offender is also a drug addict.

The recidivism rate for convicted sex offenders is 14%.A warden suspects that this percent is lower if the sex offender is also a drug addict. Of the 353 convicted sex offenders who were also drug addicts, 39 of them became repeat offenders. What can be concluded at the

= 0.01 level of significance?

  1. For this study, we should use
  2. t-test for a population mean

  1. z-test for a population proportion

  1. The null and alternative hypotheses would be:
  2. Ho:?
  3. p
  4. Select an answer
  5. <
  6. =
  7. >
  8. (please enter a decimal)
  9. H1:?
  10. p
  11. Select an answer
  12. >
  13. =
  14. <
  15. (Please enter a decimal)
  16. The test statistic?
  17. t
  18. z
  19. =(please show your answer to 3 decimal places.)
  20. The p-value =(Please show your answer to 4 decimal places.)
  21. The p-value is?
  22. >
  23. Based on this, we shouldSelect an answer
  24. fail to reject
  25. reject
  26. accept
  27. the null hypothesis.
  28. Thus, the final conclusion is that ...
  • The data suggest the populaton proportion issignificantlylower than 14% at
  • = 0.01, so there is statistically significant evidence to conclude that the population proportion of convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is lower than 14%.
  • The data suggest the population proportion is notsignificantlylower than 14% at
  • = 0.01, so there is statistically significant evidence to conclude that the population proportion of convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is equal to 14%.
  • The data suggest the population proportion is notsignificantlylower than 14% at
  • = 0.01, so there is statistically insignificant evidence to conclude that the population proportion of convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is lower than 14%.
  1. Interpret the p-value in the context of the study.
  • There is a 5.5% chance that fewer than 14% of all convicted sex offender drug addicts become repeat offenders.
  • If the population proportion of convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is 14% and if another 353 inner city residents are surveyed then there would be a 5.5% chance that fewer than 11% of the 353 convicted sex offender drug addicts in the study become repeat offenders.
  • If the sample proportion of convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is 11% and if another 353 convicted sex offender drug addicts are surveyed then there would be a 5.5% chance of concluding that fewer than 14% of convicted sex offender drug addicts become repeat offenders.
  • There is a 14% chance of a Type I error.
  1. Interpret the level of significance in the context of the study.
  • If the population proportion of convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is 14% and if another 353 convicted sex offender drug addicts are observed, then there would be a 1% chance that we would end up falsely concluding that the proportion of all convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is lower than 14%.
  • There is a 1% chance that Lizard People aka "Reptilians" are running the world.
  • If the population proportion of convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is lower than 14% and if another 353 convicted sex offender drug addicts are observed then there would be a 1% chance that we would end up falsely concluding that the proportion of all convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is equal to 14%.
  • There is a 1% chance that the proportion of all convicted sex offender drug addicts who become repeat offenders is lower than 14%.

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