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The recognition that dividends are dependent on earnings, so a reliable dividend forecast is based on an underlying forecast of the firm's future sales, costs
The recognition that dividends are dependent on earnings, so a reliable dividend forecast is based on an underlying forecast of the firm's future sales, costs and capital requirements, has led to an alternative stock valuation approach, known as the corporate valuation model. The market value of a firm is equal to the present value of its expected future free cash flows plus the market value of its nonoperating assets:
Free cash flows are generally forecasted for to years, after which it is assumed that the final forecasted free cash flow will grow at some longrun constant rate. Once the firm reaches its horizon date, when cash flows begin to grow at a constant rate, the equation to calculate the continuing value of the firm's operations at that date is:
Discount the free cash flows back at the firm's weighted average cost of capital to arrive at the value of the firm today. Once the value of the firm's operations are calculated and the value of nonoperating assets are added, then the market value of debt and preferred are subtracted to arrive at the market value of equity. The market value of equity is divided by the number of common shares outstanding to estimate the firm's intrinsic pershare value.
We present examples of the corporate valuation model. In the first problem, we assume that the firm is a mature company so its free cash flows grow at a constant rate. In the second problem, we assume that the firm has a period of nonconstant growth.
Quantitative Problem : Assume today is December Barrington Industries expects that its aftertax operating income EBIT T will be $ million and its depreciation expense will be $ million. Barrington's gross capital expenditures are expected to be $ million and the change in its net operating working capital for will be $ million. The firm's free cash flow is expected to grow at a constant rate of annually. Assume that its free cash flow occurs at the end of each year. The firm's weighted average cost of capital is ; the market value of the company's debt is $ billion; and the company has million shares of common stock outstanding. The firm has no preferred stock on its balance sheet and has no plans to use it for future capital budgeting projects. Also, the firm has zero nonoperating assets. Using the corporate valuation model, what should be the company's stock price today December Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to the nearest cent.
$
per share
Quantitative Problem : Hadley Inc. forecasts the yearend free cash flows in millions shown below.
Year
FCF $ $ $ $ $
The weighted average cost of capital is and the FCFs are expected to continue growing at a rate after Year The firm has $ million of marketvalue debt, but it has no preferred stock or any other outstanding claims. There are million shares outstanding. Also, the firm has zero nonoperating assets. What is the value of the stock price today Year Round your answer to the nearest cent. Do not round intermediate calculations.
$
per share
According to the valuation models developed in this chapter, the value that an investor assigns to a share of stock is dependent on the length of time the investor plans to hold the stock.
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Conclusions
Analysts use both the discounted dividend model and the corporate valuation model when valuing mature, dividendpaying firms; and they generally use the corporate model when valuing divisions and firms that do not pay dividends. In principle, we should find the same intrinsic value using either model, but differences are often observed.
Even if a company is paying steady dividends, much can be learned from the corporate model; so analysts today use it for all types of valuations. The process of projecting future financial statements can reveal a great deal about a company's operations and financing needs. Also, such an analysis can provide insights into actions that might be taken to increase the company's value; and for this reason, it is integral to the planning and forecasting process.
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