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The sales (in millions of dollars) for a 15-month period are as follows. Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Sales 390

 

The sales (in millions of dollars) for a 15-month period are as follows. Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Sales 390 565 395 450 490 560 420 565 Month Sales 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 470 1000 490 485 525 550 530 a. Compare a three-month moving average forecast with an exponential smoothing forecast. Use a = 0.2. Find MSE for both methods. b. Which provides the better forecasts based on MSE? c. Find the forecast for the next month using the best forecast method.

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