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The weather at a coastal resort is classified each day simply as sunny or rainy. A sunny day is followed by another sunny day with

The weather at a coastal resort is classified each day simply as "sunny" or "rainy." A

sunny day is followed by another sunny day with probability 0.9, and a rainy day is

followed by another rainy day with probability 0.3. (a) Describe this as a Markov chain.

(b) If Friday is sunny, what is the probability that Sunday is also sunny? (c) If Friday is

sunny, what is the probability that both Saturday and Sunday are sunny?

2 At another resort, it is known that the probability that any two consecutive days are both

sunny is 0.7 and that the other three combinations are equally likely. Find the transition

probabilities.

3 A machine produces electronic components that may come out defective and the process

is such that defective components tend to come in clusters. A defective component is

followed by another defective component with probability 0.3, whereas a nondefective

component is followed by a defective component with probability 0.01. Describe this

as a Markov chain, and find the long-term proportion of defective components.

4 An insurance company classifies its auto insurance policyholders in the categories

"high," "intermediate," or "low" risk. In any given year, a policyholder has no accidents

with probability 0.6, one accident with probability 0.2, two accidents with probability

0.1, and more than two accidents with probability 0.1. If you have no accidents, you

are moved down one risk category; if you have one, you stay where you are; if you

have two accidents, you move up one category; and if you have more than two, you

always move to high risk. (a) Describe the sequence of moves between categories of

a policyholder as a Markov chain. (b) If you start as a low-risk customer, how many

years can you expect to stay there? (c) How many years pass on average between two

consecutive visits in the high-risk category?

5 Consider the ON/OFF system from Example 8.2.4. Let Xn be the state after n steps,

and define Yn = (Xn, Xn+1). Show that {Yn} is a Markov chain on the state space

{0, 1} {0, 1}, find its transition matrix and stationary distribution.

6 Suppose that state i is transient and that i ? j. Can j be recurrent?

7 Consider the state space S = {1, 2, ..., n}. Describe a Markov chain on S that has only

one recurrent state.

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Question 1 In the Jak-Stat signaling pathway: O phosphorylated STATs dissociate from activated receptors and dimerize via SH2 domains. O PH domains recruit STATs to the cell surface O the receptors have intracellular kinase domains O the receptors leave the cell membrane and migrate to mitochondria O SH3 domain connect Jaks with Stats6. At a large university, the probability that a student takes statistics and a foreign language in the same semester is 0.08. The probability that a student takes statistics is 0.2. If taking statistics and taking a foreign language are independent events, find the probability that a student takes statistics or a foreign language in the same semester. Answer:D Question 32 2.5 pts A college is studying the probability students will take one or more statistics classes. The following probability distribution shows the likelihood students will take 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5 statistics classes. NOTE: This is NOT a Binomial Distribution, Number of Statistics Probability Classes 1 0.60 2 0.20 0.12 0.04 5 0.04 What is the probability a student will take 3 or more statistics classes

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