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Time series econometrics is concerns with the estimation of difference equations containing stochastic components[1]. A day to day change in the price of a stock

  1. Time series econometrics is concerns with the estimation of difference equations containing stochastic components[1]. A day to day change in the price of a stock can be tested for the random walk hypothesis.
    1. (+2.5pts.) Write down a stochastic difference equation that shows how the day to day price of a stock should evolve.

  1. (+2.5pts.) If you assume that the error term in your previous equation is a white noise, what do you know about its expected value, its variance, and covariance?

  1. (+2.5pts.)Provide a more general stochastic difference equation for Dyt (Hint: Using yt-1and error term)

  1. (+2.5pts.)Based on the equation above what would be they null hypothesis you would set up for the random walk hypothesis?

[1]In its most general form, a difference equation expresses the value of a variable as function its own lagged values, time, and other variables.

  1. (+2 pts.) What are the necessary conditions for weakly stationary time series?

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