Today is 1 August 2018. Jimmy is 30 years old today and he is considering purchasing 5,000 units of XYZ shares today (XYZs current share price is $20). Jimmy will use his own savings to cover 20% of the purchase cost (i.e., $20,000) and he is planning to borrow the remaining 80% of the purchase cost (i.e., $80,000) using a 5-year personal loan (it starts from 1 August 2018) from MQU Bank. Jimmy now has two loan package to choose between.

Package 1. Jimmy will make 60 monthly repayments at the beginning of each month over the following five years (from 1 August 2018 to 31 July 2023) with the first payment being made today. This loan needs to be fully repaid by the end of 5 years (i.e., when Jimmy is 35 years old.). This package has an annual fee of $200. The package fee is paid on 1 August of each year during the following five years period (from 1 August 2018 to 31 July 2023). The first one being paid today. The interest rate of this package is j12 = 10% p.a.

Package 2. Jimmy will make 60 monthly repayments at the beginning of each month over the following five years with the first payment being made today. This loan needs to be fully repaid by the end of 5 years (i.e., when Jimmy is 35 years old.). Jimmy can have a one year interest-only-period at the beginning of the mortgage. Jimmys repayments will be interest-only1 for the first year (i.e., first 12 payments will be interest-only payments), followed by payments of principal plus interest for the following 4 years. This package has an annual fee of $400. The package fee is paid on 1 August of each year during the following five year period (from 1 August 2018 to 31 July 2023). The first one being paid today. The interest rate of this package is j12 = 12% p.a.

Jimmy also plans to sell all the XYZ shares in 5 years time (on 1 August 2023). He predicts that the XYZ share price will grow at a rate of y% p.a. Jimmy assumes that y = the Australian 10-year Government Bond Yield for 2017 + 10%. You need to use FactSet to find the Australian 10-year Government Bond Yield for 20172 . Jimmy assumes that XYZ shares will pay a dividend on 1 January and 1 July of each year. Jimmy predicts that there are two potential outcomes for the dividend amount.

Outcome 1: the dividend amount is assumed to be $1 on 1 January 2019 and will increase at a rate of 5% per half-year.

Outcome 2: the dividend amount is assumed to be $3 on 1 January 2019 and will increase at a rate of 2% per half-year

a. [12 marks] Calculate the loan repayment amount (excluding the annual fee) for each month of package 1 and package 2.

Use Goal Seek to find the net borrowing cost for package 1 and package 2 by including the annual fee (expressed as a rate p.a. compounded monthly).

Use a bar or column chart to compare the loan repayment amount of package 1 and package 2 over the five-year loan period. b. [8 marks]

Calculate the share price on 1 August 2023.

Calculate the accumulated dividend value for outcomes 1 and 2. Assume a reinvestment rate of 0.5% per month.

Calculate the holding period rate for outcome 1 and 2. Please refer to the week 6 lecture for the holding period rate calculation. You can consider that the initial investment cost is $100,000 and the interest payment of this investment is the dividend payments. Express your answer as an annual rate of compound interest

c. [10 marks] The cash outflow of this investment has been analysed in part a and the cash outflow of this investment has been analysed in part b. It is noticed that there are four potential outcomes for Jimmy: loan package 1 with dividend outcome 1, loan package 1 with dividend outcome 2, loan package 2 with dividend outcome 1 and loan package 2 with dividend outcome 2.

Find the net cash flow in each month from August 2018 to July August 2023 (inclusive3 ) for these four potential outcomes.

Calculate the present value of the net cash flow for these four potential outcomes. Assume that we use 5% p.a. to find the present value.

Use a bar or column chart to compare the present value of net cash flows for the four potential outcomes.