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(Total 20 marks) Question 3 Consider the following scenario analysis: Rate of return Scenario Probability Stocks Bonds Recession 0.25 -8% 13% Normal 0.35 15% 8%

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(Total 20 marks) Question 3 Consider the following scenario analysis: Rate of return Scenario Probability Stocks Bonds Recession 0.25 -8% 13% Normal 0.35 15% 8% Boom 0.40 30% 5% Assume the portfolio with weights of 60% in stock and 40% in bonds (7 marks) (a) What are the rates of retum on the portfolio in each scenario? (6) What are the expected rate of return and standard deviation of the portfolio? (c) Explain with reason what investment you would invest, i.e. in the portfolio, in stocks only, or in bonds only? (7 marks) (6 marks)

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