Question
Toyota Motor Company is expanding the production of their gas-electric hybrid drive systems and plans to shift production in the United States. To enable the
Toyota Motor Company is expanding the production of their gas-electric hybrid drive systems and
plans to shift production in the United States. To enable the expansion, they are contemplating
investing $1.5 billion in a new plant with an expected 10-year life. The anticipated free cash flows from the new plant would be $220 million the first year of operation and grow by 10% for each of the next two years and then 5% per year for the remaining seven years. As a newly hired MBA in the capital budgeting division you have been asked to evaluate the new project using the WACC, Adjusted
Present Value, and Flow-to-Equity methods. You will compute the appropriate costs of capital and the
net present values with each method. Because this is your first major assignment with the firm, they
want you to demonstrate that you are capable of handling the different valuation methods. You must
seek out the information necessary to value the free cash flows but will be provided some directions to
follow. (This is an involved assignment, but at least you don't have to come up with the actual cash
flows for the project!)
1. Go to Yahoo! Finance (http://finance.yahoo.com) and get the quote for Toyota (symbol: TM).
(a) Under 'Financials', click on the income statement. The income statements for the last three fiscal
years will appear. Copy and paste the data into Excel.
(b) Go back to the Web page and select 'Balance Sheets' from the top of the page. Repeat the
download procedure for the balance sheets, then copy and paste them into the same worksheet
as the income statements.
(c) Click 'Historical prices' in the left column, and find Toyota's stock price for the last day of the
month at the end of each of the past four fiscal years. Record the stock price on each date in your
spreadsheet.
2. Create a timeline in Excel with the free cash flows for the 10 years of the project.
3. Determine the WACC using Eq. 18.1.
(a) For the cost of debt, rD:
(i) Go to Finra-Markets
(http://finra-markets.morningstar.com/BondCenter/Default.jsp?part=3) and click
to search by symbol. Enter Toyota's symbol, select the Corporate toggle, and press 'Enter.'
(ii) Look at the average credit rating for Toyota long-term bonds. If you find that they have a
rating of A or above, then you can make the approximation that the cost of debt is the
risk-free rate. If Toyota's credit rating has slipped, use Table 12.3 to estimate the beta of debt
from the credit rating.
(b) For the cost of equity, rE :
(i) Get the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond from Yahoo! Finance
(http://finance.yahoo.com). Scroll down to the Market Summary. Enter that yield as the
risk-free rate.
(ii) Find the beta for Toyota from Yahoo! Finance. Enter the symbol for Toyota and click 'Key
Statistics.' The beta for Toyota will be listed there.
(iii) Use a market risk premium of 4.50% to compute rE using the CAPM. If you need to, repeat
the exercise to compute rD.
(c) Determine the values for E and D for Eq. 18.1 for Toyota and the debt-to-value and
equity-to-value ratios.
(i) To compute the net debt for Toyota, add the long-term debt and the short-term debt and
subtract cash and cash equivalents for each year on the balance sheet.
(ii) Obtain the historical number of shares outstanding from Google Finance
(www.google.com/finance). Enter Toyota's ticker in the search box, click 'Financials.' Look
on the income statement for 'Diluted Weighted Average Shares.' Multiply the historical
stock prices by the number of shares outstanding you collected to compute Toyota's market
capitalization at the end of each fiscal year.
(iii) Compute Toyota's enterprise value at the end of each fiscal year by combining the values
obtained for its equity market capitalization and its net debt.
(iv) Compute Toyota's debt-to-value ratio at the end of each year by dividing its net debt by its
enterprise value. Use the average ratio from the last four years as an estimate for Toyota's
target debt-to-value ratio.
(d) Determine Toyota's tax rate by dividing the income tax by earnings before tax for each year. Take
the average of the four rates as Toyota's marginal corporate tax rate.
(e) Compute the WACC for Toyota using Eq. 18.1.
4. Compute the NPV of the hybrid engine expansion given the free cash flows you calculated using the
WACC method of valuation.
5. Determine the NPV using the Adjusted Present Value Method, and also using the Flow-to-Equity
method. In both cases, assume Toyota maintains the target leverage ratio you computed in Question
3c.
6. Compare the results under the three methods and explain how the resulting NPVs are achieved
under each of the three different methods.
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