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toys for you is considering a proposed project for its capital budget. The company estimates the project's NPV is $650,000. This estimate assumes that the

toys for you is considering a proposed project for its capital budget. The company estimates the project's NPV is $650,000. This estimate assumes that the economy and market conditions will be average over the next few years. The company's CFO, however, forecasts there is only a 50% chance that the economy will be average. Recognizing this uncertainty, she has also performed the following scenario analysis:

Economic Scenario Probability of Outcome NPV
Recession 0.05 -$350,000
Below average 0.15 -75,000
Average 0.50 650,000
Above average 0.25 1,250,000
Boom 0.05 1,500,000

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