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toys for you is considering a proposed project for its capital budget. The company estimates the project's NPV is $650,000. This estimate assumes that the
toys for you is considering a proposed project for its capital budget. The company estimates the project's NPV is $650,000. This estimate assumes that the economy and market conditions will be average over the next few years. The company's CFO, however, forecasts there is only a 50% chance that the economy will be average. Recognizing this uncertainty, she has also performed the following scenario analysis:
Economic Scenario | Probability of Outcome | NPV |
Recession | 0.05 | -$350,000 |
Below average | 0.15 | -75,000 |
Average | 0.50 | 650,000 |
Above average | 0.25 | 1,250,000 |
Boom | 0.05 | 1,500,000 |
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