Transcendent Technologies is deciding between developing a complicated thought-activated software or a simple voice-activated software. Because the thought-activated software is complicated, it only has a 30% chance of actually going through to a successful launch but would generate revenues of $50 million if launched. The voice-activated software is simple and hence has a 80% chance of being launched butgenerates revenue of only $10 million. The complicated technology costs 10 million, whereas the simple technology costs two million.

Launching the simplified version would be a mistake for probabilities less than what?