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Transcendent Technologies is deciding between developing a complicated thought-activated software, or a simple voice-activated software. Since the thought-activated software is complicated, it only has a
Transcendent Technologies is deciding between developing a complicated thought-activated software, or a simple voice-activated software. Since the thought-activated software is complicated, it only has a 30% chance of actually going through to a successful launch, but would generate revenues of $50million if launched. The voice-activated software is simple and hence has a 80% chance of being launched but only generates a revenue of $10million. The complicated technology costs 10million, whereas the simple technology costs 2million. If the firm learns that the complicated technology can be made more stable with a few tweaks increasing the price to 15.5 million and increasing the probability of a launch to 50%. Given the new costs and probabilities of launch for the complicated software, which technology would the firm rather invest in now
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