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Trump is diagnosed with an uncommon disease. He knows that there is only a 1% chance of getting it. Use the letter D for the
Trump is diagnosed with an uncommon disease. He knows that there is only a 1% chance of getting it. Use the letter D for the event "he has the disease" and T for "the test says so". It is known that the test is imperfect:(|)=0.98 and(|)=0.95.
- a) What is the false-positive rate?
- b) What is the false-negative rate?
- c) Given that he tests positive, what is the probability that he really has the disease?
- d) He obtains a second opinion: an independent repetition of the test. He tests positive again. Given this, what is the probability that he really has the disease?
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