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Tuberculosis (TB), as an infectious disease, has two very noticeable symptoms - cough and low fever . However, not all TB patients will present these

Tuberculosis (TB), as an infectious disease, has two very noticeable symptoms - cough and low fever. However, not all TB patients will present these two symptoms. A systematic literature review on Tuberculosis found that 77% (0.77) of the TB patients could have low fever, while 81% (0.81) of the TB patients could have cough as observed symptoms. On the other hand, the same review pointed out that 10% (0.10) of the non-TB patients may have low fever, while 30% (0.30) non-TB patients could have cough as one of their symptoms.

  1. The patient does NOT show any symptoms, however the lab tests (Skin, Blood, Imaging, and Sputum) confirmed the TB diagnosis. In this scenario, the two symptoms cough and low-fever are d-separated or d-connected
  2. If a patient has been observed to have cough as a symptom (cough = yes) but NO Low Fever (low fever = no). What is the probability that the patient might have tuberculosis?

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