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Tyrion Lannister is a clever, outspoken, and very powerful noble known for his quick wit and outlandish behavior. Although he is of short stature, he

Tyrion Lannister is a clever, outspoken, and very powerful noble known for his quick wit and outlandish behavior. Although he is of short stature, he casts a long shadow. Which of the following two alternatives is more probable?

I. Tyrion Lannister is a member of a royal family from Casterly Rock.

II. Tyrion Lannister is a member of a royal family from Casterly Rosk and he is a dwarf.

You know that most respondents would choose the second alternative although the first alternative is more probable. This is known as the _________________ fallacy.

Combination
Conjunction
Irrational
Two-stage
Aggregation

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