Use the budget data posted below and forecast Blue City's 2021 budget for each revenue (Blue City is a fictional city).

1. Use informed judgment for each revenue and explain why you use this method.

2. Use the appropriate moving average and explain why you select that method. Only use the data for the last five budget years for each revenue. Show your work for your moving average method.

		Blue City
	Ad Valorem Taxes		Charges & Services		Inter-Gov. Revenue
	Actual	Growth	Actual	Growth	Actual	Growth
Fiscal Year	Revenues	Rate	Revenues	Rate	Revenues	Rate
2006	20,713,000.00	0%	6,126,200.00	0%	6,779,900.00	0%
2007	21,873,000.00	6%	6,128,900.00	0%	7,696,100.00	14%
2008	24,679,900.00	13%	7,507,900.00	22%	8,141,500.00	6%
2009	27,336,500.00	11%	7,442,000.00	-0.01%	7,874,700.00	-3%
2010	29,869,100.00	9%	8,285,300.00	11%	8,337,800.00	6%
2011	32,006,000.00	7%	9,207,800.00	11%	8,981,700.00	8%
2012	36,988,000.00	16%	9,751,400.00	6%	9,468,300.00	5%
2013	45,308,000.00	22%	11,964,100.00	23%	10,432,600.00	10%
2014	53,218,000.00	18%	11,417,300.00	-5%	10,597,000.00	2%
2015	49,856,200.00	-6%	11,014,700.00	-4%	10,622,000.00	0%
2016	47,938,900.00	-4%	13,887,900.00	26%	10,982,400.00	3%
2017	45,465,500.00	-5%	14,936,100.00	8%	12,099,300.00	10%
2018	42,967,700.00	5%	17,342,600.00	16%	12,529,500.00	0%
2019	45,268,700.00	5%	20,177,700.00	16%	12,514,700.00	0%
2020	50,258,700.00	11%	15,054,500.00	-25%	12,594,400.00	0.01%
2021???	?		?	?	?	?