Question
WARNING: DO NOT RE-RUN THIS CODE. THE DATA HAS BEEN MODIFIED FOR THIS EXAM. > attach( Default ) > fit=glm( default ~ balance + student,
WARNING: DO NOT RE-RUN THIS CODE. THE DATA HAS BEEN MODIFIED FOR THIS EXAM. > attach(Default) > fit=glm(default ~ balance + student, family=binomial) > summary(fit) Call: glm(formula = default ~ balance + student, family = binomial) Deviance Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -2.4578 -0.1422 -0.0559 -0.0203 3.7435 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|) (Intercept) -9.9500 3.692e-01 -29.116 < 2e-16 *** balance 0.008738 2.318e-04 24.750 < 2e-16 *** studentYes -0.6149 1.475e-01 -4.846 1.26e-06 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 (Dispersion parameter for binomial family taken to be 1) Null deviance: 2920.6 on 9999 degrees of freedom Residual deviance: 1571.7 on 9997 degrees of freedom AIC: 1577.7 Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 8 > contrasts(default) Yes No 0 Yes 1 > probs=predict(fit,type="response") > probs[1:7] 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1.409096e-03 1.140318e-03 1.005719e-02 4.469571e-04 1.943498e-03 2.050378e-03 2.441704e-03 > pred=rep("No", nrow(Default)) > pred[probs>.5]="Yes" > table(pred,default) default pred No Yes No 9628 228 Yes 39 105
1 .Write the model in an equation form. Please substitute all.parameters with the values from. the above code.
2 .Calculate the probability. of default for a student .who has a credit .card balance of $2200. Please show .your calculation.
3 .Suppose that an .individual has a 25% chance of defaulting on her .credit card payment. What are the odds that. she will default? Please show your calculation.
4 .Calculate the error rate .based on the given confusion. table in the last part of the .above code. Please show .your calculation.
5 .If the accuracy. is not as important as the .sensitivity, how can you improve .the sensitivity of this .model?
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