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What do you expect the financial position of the business to be in 2016? Extend the financial statements through 2016, assuming that Bob Brown grows

What do you expect the financial position of the business to be in 2016? Extend the financial statements through 2016, assuming that Bob Brown grows revenue by 30%. Note: To make the balance sheet balance, define cash as equal to (Curr. liab. + Net worth) (Accounts receivable + Inventory + OCA + Net fixed assets)

2012 2013 2014 2015
Profit and loss statement
Revenue 788.5 807.6 908.2 1048.8
Cost of goods sold 402.9 428.8 437.7 503.4
Gross profit 385.6 378.8 470.5 545.4
SG&A expense 301.2 302.0 356.0 404.5
Depreciation 34.2 38.4 36.3 40.9
Operating profit 50.2 38.4 78.2 100.0
Taxes 17.6 13.1 26.2 39.2
Net profit 32.6 25.3 52.0 60.8
Balance sheet
Cash 120.1 105.2 66.8 9.4
Accounts receivable 90.6 99.5 119.5 146.4
Inventory1 468.3 507.6 523.4 656.9
Other current assets2 20.9 19.3 22.6 20.9
Current assets 699.9 731.6 732.3 833.6
Net fixed assets3 332.1 332.5 384.3 347.9
Total assets 1032.0 1064.1 1116.6 1181.5
Accounts payable 6.0 5.3 4.5 5.0
Wages payable 19.7 22.0 22.1 24.4
Other payables 10.2 15.4 16.6 17.9
Current liabilities 35.9 42.7 43.2 47.3
Net worth 996.1 1021.4 1073.4 1134.2
Capital expenditure 22.0 38.8 88.1 4.5
Purchases4 140.8 145.2 161.2 185.1

2012 2013 2014 2015 Benchmark1
Revenue growth 2.9% 2.4% 12.5% 15.5% (1.8)%
Gross margin (Gross profit / Revenue) 48.9% 46.9% 51.8% 52.0% 48.9%
Operating margin (Op. profit / Revenue) 6.4% 4.8% 8.6% 9.5% 7.6%
Net profit margin (Net profit / Revenue) 4.1% 3.1% 5.7% 5.8% 2.8%
Return on assets (Net profit / Total assets) 3.2% 2.4% 4.7% 5.1% 2.9%
Return on capital (Net profit / Total capital) 3.3% 2.5% 4.8% 5.4% 4.0%
Receivable days (AR / Revenue * 365) 41.9 45.0 48.0 50.9 21.8
Inventory days (Inventory / COGS * 365) 424.2 432.1 436.5 476.3 386.3
Payable days (AP / Purchases * 365) 15.6 13.3 10.2 9.9 26.9
NFA turnover (Revenue / NFA) 2.4 2.4 2.4 3.0 2.7

1. What is your assessment of the financial performance of Horniman Horticulture?

2. Do you agree with Maggie Browns accounts-payable policy?

3. What explains the erosion of the cash balance?

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