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What is the probability that the GBP will be below 1 USD/GBP in 1 year if it is now at 1.25 USD/GBP? Assume that percentage

What is the probability that the GBP will be below 1 USD/GBP in 1 year if it is now at 1.25 USD/GBP? Assume that percentage changes are normally distributed with an annual standard deviation of 11% and an expected change of 0.

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