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What rates of return do you expect for equity holders and each tranche of senior debt and subordinated debt for this investment given the forecasted

  1. What rates of return do you expect for equity holders and each tranche of senior debt and subordinated debt for this investment given the forecasted financials and capital structure?
    • Is this rate of return sufficient from Butler Capital's perspective?
    • Are the rates of return fair for the risks being taken from the perspective of the markets?
    • You should consider the assumptions for margin improvements and growth in Exhibit 18 of the case in answering these questions.
Autodistribution - Historical Consolidated P/L
Thousand of FFr 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
Turnover (n-1 perimeter) n.d. 4,323,000 4,498,000 4,805,000 5,263,000
% / n-1 without acquired n-1 turnover n.s. n.s. -0.60% 3.80% 4.90%
% / n-1 including acquired n-1 turnover n.s. n.s. 4.00% 6.80% 9.50%
Turnover of purchased companies n.d. 200,243 129,372 211,576 137,532
Total net turnover 4,228,968 4,523,243 4,627,372 5,016,576 5,400,532
% / n-1 n.s. 7.00% 2.30% 8.40% 7.70%
- -2,617 188 424 -
Raw material and goods purchases -2,981,168 -3,166,984 -3,208,175 -3,463,077 -3,699,596
Gross margin 1,247,800 1,353,642 1,419,385 1,553,923 1,700,936
% / n-1 n.s. 8.50% 4.90% 9.50% 9.50%
Other variable costs -346,775 -368,000 -381,872 -421,463 -441,165
Value added 901,025 985,642 1,037,513 1,132,460 1,259,771
% / n-1 n.s. 9.40% 5.30% 9.20% 11.20%
Personnel and social charges -633,009 -662,100 -713,079 -787,251 -833,358
Employee profit sharing -6,436 -8,739 -7,830 -8,638 -11,627
Taxes -47,318 -55,709 -56,402 -64,326 -69,687
State fundings - 941 1,912 1,675 -
Other products and expenses 17,301 20,772 -11,262 17,730 24,710
EBITDA 231,563 280,807 250,852 291,651 369,809
% / n-1 n.s. 21.30% -10.70% 16.30% 26.80%
Depreciation allowance -44,404 -46,130 -51,196 -58,784 -64,889
Risk allowance -80,055 -85,625 -87,384 -101,153 -100,286
Resumptions & transfers of ch. 86,277 92,281 120,170 114,795 105,939
EBIT 193,381 241,332 232,442 246,509 310,573
% / n-1 n.s. 24.80% -3.70% 6.10% 26.00%
Operations in common 317 342 -19 -74 226
Cash discount on purchases n.d. n.d. 22,000 23,810 22,500
Other financial income 33,052 38,405 8,682 6,502 8,324
Financial charges -50,763 -46,814 -30,823 -20,167 -13,958
Financial depreciation - 1,167 5,623 4,055 579
Financial result -17,394 -6,900 5,463 14,126 17,671
EBIT after interest 175,987 234,432 237,905 260,635 328,244
% / n-1 n.s. 33.20% 1.50% 9.60% 25.90%
Extraordinary profits 21,027 27,575 41,366 15,725 27,814
Extraordinary expenses -34,894 -27,442 -35,053 -21,949 -19,904
Extraordinary allowance - -24,495 -25,186 -620 520
Extraordinary result -13,867 -24,362 -18,873 -6,844 8,430
Tax penalty -25000
Income tax -54,829 -85,916 -92,735 -115,592 -145,033
Net result before goodwill amort. 107,291 124,154 126,297 138,199 166,641
% / n-1 n.s. 15.70% 1.70% 9.40% 20.60%
Goodwill amortization -3,334 -4,761 -5,810 -15,121 -13,624
Consolidated net result 103,957 119,393 120,487 123,078 153,017
% / n-1 n.s. 14.80% 0.90% 2.20% 24.30%
Minority interests 1,122 1,116 -946 -528 4
Group consolidated net result 102,835 118,277 121,433 123,606 153,013
% / n-1 n.s. 15.00% 2.70% 1.80% 23.80%

exhibit 18:

Butler Capital Partners' Assumptions for AD
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Growth
Growth Organic Sales growth 2.00% 3.90% 3.70% 3.50% 3.00% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50%
Sales from acquisitions 378,457 582,407 676,137 762,195 778,440 871,750 701,900 706,600
Margins
Gross profit 32.20% 33.20% 34.20% 35.20% 36.00% 36.30% 36.50% 36.60%
EBITDA 7.50% 7.75% 7.98% 8.23% 8.63% 8.70% 8.83% 8.93%
Depreciation 1.20% 1.23% 1.23% 1.23% 1.23% 1.23% 1.23% 1.23%
Financial income 3,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000
Interest Expense
CapEx Debt 1.875% 1.875% 1.875% 1.875% 1.875% 1.875% 1.875% 1.875%
Other debts 0.75% 0.75% 0.75% 0.75% 0.75% 0.75% 0.75% 0.75%
Goodwill 16,000 20,000 25,000 29,000 34,000 40,000 45,000 50,000
Extraordinary expenses 5,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000
Other Information
Tax rate 40.00% 36.70% 36.70% 36.70% 36.70% 36.70% 36.70% 36.70%
Net working capital 55 days 55 days 55 days 55 days 55 days 55 days 55 days 55 days
CapEx 60,000 68,000 77,000 88,000 99,000 110,000 121,000 132,000
Acquisitions multiple 0.275x 0.275x 0.300x 0.300x 0.350x 0.350x 0.350x 0.350x
Debt levels
CapEx debt 50,000 250,000 400,000 400,000 400,000 400,000 400,000 0
Other 215,000 255,000 355,000 445,000 625,000 820,000 890,000 910,000

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