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Whenever it is snowing when Joe gets up in the morning, he misjudges how long it will take him to drive to work. Otherwise, his

Whenever it is snowing when Joe gets up in the morning, he misjudges how long

it will take him to drive to work. Otherwise, his expectations of the driving time

are perfectly accurate. Considering that it snows only once every ten years where

Joe lives, Joes expectations are almost always perfectly accurate. Are Joes

expectations rational? Why or Why not?

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