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Which is a likely outcome and might serve as an argument against the imposition of a tariff on a country from which we import manufacturing

Which is a likely outcome and might serve as an argument against the imposition of a tariff on a country from which we import manufacturing goods because that country can produce them at a lower cost than our domestic manufacturers of that good?

  1. The country on which we imposed the tariffs will still be able to export the same quantities of that good to us.
  2. Our domestic manufacturers will benefit, create jobs, and our economy will be larger than if we had not imposed that tariff.
  3. Another country that can also produce that good at a lower price than our domestic manufacturers will replace the country on which we imposed tariffs and will export (almost) the same amount of the good to us.
  4. We will increase our total surplus since revenues will be generated from the tariff.

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