Wk 6 - Practice: Wk 6 Exercises (due Day 5) Saved Help Save & Exit Subr Check my work 4 2 points Year 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 U.S. Manufactured General Aviation Shipments, 1984-2016 Planes Year Planes Year Planes Year 2,574 1992 1,084 2000 2,959 2008 2,172 1993 1,107 2001 2,777 2009 1,638 1994 1,071 2002 2,350 2010 1,228 1995 1,220 2003 2,280 2011 1,355 1996 1,258 2004 2,498 2012 1,678 1997 1,692 2005 3,000 2013 1,287 1998 2,343 2006 3,299 2014 1,164 1999 2,647 2007 3,422 2015 Planes 3,222 1,728 1,477 1,466 1,659 1,758 1,774 1,735 eBook Click here for the Excel Data File References (a) Plot the data on U.S. general aviation shipments Plot A Plot B US Aviation Shipment (1984-2015) Manufactured Gener US Aviation Shipment (1984-20151 Manufactured General 3500 4000 3500 3000 3000 2500 2500 2000 1500 1500 100 1000 30 Piot A Plot Plot Plot Wk b- Practice: Wk 6 Exercises (due Day 5) Saved Help Save & Exit Submit 4 1000 Check my work 500 500 0 1984 1986 2010 2014 1990 1983 1984 1997 2000 2004 2012 2 points eBook Plot A O Plot B O Plot C O Plot D (b) Describe the pattern and discuss possible causes. Hint What economic factors affect major capital investments? (You may select more than one answer. Click the box with a check mark for the correct answer and double click to empty the box for the wrong answer.) The factors affecting major capital investments: References Business cycles 2 Interest rates 2 Foreign demand 2 Forecasting (c) Would a fitted trend be helpful? Explain No there is no clear trend over the past 30 years (d) Fit a moving average le period 2) to the data. Is it useful? Yes a two year or three year moving average would be an accepeable forecasting method for this time series (e) Mokeo forecast for 2016 using a method of your choice including a judgment forecast Austify your method (Round your answer to the nearest whole number) The two year moving average forecast for 2016 Proy 4 of 15 il Next > Wk 6 - Practice: Wk 6 Exercises (due Day 5) Saved Help Save & Exit Subr Check my work 4 2 points Year 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 U.S. Manufactured General Aviation Shipments, 1984-2016 Planes Year Planes Year Planes Year 2,574 1992 1,084 2000 2,959 2008 2,172 1993 1,107 2001 2,777 2009 1,638 1994 1,071 2002 2,350 2010 1,228 1995 1,220 2003 2,280 2011 1,355 1996 1,258 2004 2,498 2012 1,678 1997 1,692 2005 3,000 2013 1,287 1998 2,343 2006 3,299 2014 1,164 1999 2,647 2007 3,422 2015 Planes 3,222 1,728 1,477 1,466 1,659 1,758 1,774 1,735 eBook Click here for the Excel Data File References (a) Plot the data on U.S. general aviation shipments Plot A Plot B US Aviation Shipment (1984-2015) Manufactured Gener US Aviation Shipment (1984-20151 Manufactured General 3500 4000 3500 3000 3000 2500 2500 2000 1500 1500 100 1000 30 Piot A Plot Plot Plot Wk b- Practice: Wk 6 Exercises (due Day 5) Saved Help Save & Exit Submit 4 1000 Check my work 500 500 0 1984 1986 2010 2014 1990 1983 1984 1997 2000 2004 2012 2 points eBook Plot A O Plot B O Plot C O Plot D (b) Describe the pattern and discuss possible causes. Hint What economic factors affect major capital investments? (You may select more than one answer. Click the box with a check mark for the correct answer and double click to empty the box for the wrong answer.) The factors affecting major capital investments: References Business cycles 2 Interest rates 2 Foreign demand 2 Forecasting (c) Would a fitted trend be helpful? Explain No there is no clear trend over the past 30 years (d) Fit a moving average le period 2) to the data. Is it useful? Yes a two year or three year moving average would be an accepeable forecasting method for this time series (e) Mokeo forecast for 2016 using a method of your choice including a judgment forecast Austify your method (Round your answer to the nearest whole number) The two year moving average forecast for 2016 Proy 4 of 15 il Next >
