Write descriptive notes on the following mini scenarios:

Consider the following statement by a project analyst: "I analyzed my project using scenarios for the base case, best case, and worst case. I computed break-evens and degrees of operating leverage. I did sensitivity analysis and simulation analysis. I computed NPV, IRR, payback, AAR, and PI. In the end, I have over a hundred different estimates and am more confused than ever. I would have been better off just sticking with my first estimate and going by my gut reaction. Critique this statement.