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You are a director at a game studio. The CEO emails you asking for the most accurate chances of an upcoming game making its release

You are a director at a game studio. The CEO emails you asking for the most accurate chances of an upcoming game making its release date. You decide to set up a predictions market and have all employees working on the game buy shares in the market.

If the price of a share is $0.30, the employees collectively believe that there is a__________

chance of releasing the game on time.

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