Question
You are a financial analyst at GreenRock, a major investment banking firm. Your supervisor has just handed you a difficult assignment. You must review the
You are a financial analyst at GreenRock, a major investment banking firm. Your supervisor has just handed you a difficult assignment. You must review the work of an intern, who after given the pro forma income statement and pro forma balance sheet was asked to prepare a valuation. This intern is known to make at least 10 mistakes on each valuation attempted. Your boss wants you to identify those specific errors, suggest how they should have been done but do NOT calculate the correction, nor challenge the assumptions underlying the pro forma statements.
Grokster Energy is interested in buying SunGas, a publicly traded firm. They have asked GreenRock to conduct a valuation of SunGas which has a promising new technology but needs funds. GreenRock believes a tax rate of 20% would be appropriate. It is the firm's policy apply a 6 times multiple of EBITDA in calculating terminal value for FCF. The terminal value of tax savings is calculated using a 5 times multiple method. Long term growth after the initial five year period is assumed to be 8%. SunGas pays a 8% interest rate on its debt. SunGas does not pay a dividend. Econometric studies suggest the current risk free rate is 2%, while the market risk premium is 4%. Assume a 5% control premium.
Scoring: Correctly identifying error credit, proper correction credit (remember you do not calculate the correction), misidentifying error credit. Note that rounding is NOT an error. Each error is worth 4.5 points up to a total of 45 points.
Exhibit 1: Pro Forma Income Statement
Yr 1 | Yr 2 | Yr 3 | Yr 4 | Yr 5 | |
Gross Sales | 800 | 928 | 1067 | 1174 | 1291 |
Cost of Sales | 304 | 353 | 405 | 446 | 491 |
Gross Profit | 496 | 575 | 662 | 728 | 800 |
SGA (Incl.R&D) | 180 | 189 | 198 | 208 | 219 |
Depr | 45 | 50 | 57 | 63 | 71 |
Operating Income | 271 | 336 | 407 | 457 | 510 |
Interest expense | 16 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
Taxes | 51 | 64 | 79 | 89 | 100 |
Net Income | 204 | 258 | 315 | 357 | 400 |
Exhibit 2: Pro Forma Balance Sheet (Millions)
0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
Cash | 50 | 207 | 415 | 676 | 979 | 1323 |
NWC | 72 | 83 | 95 | 110 | 123 | 135 |
PPE | 160 | 176 | 194 | 213 | 234 | 258 |
Debt | 200 | 180 | 160 | 140 | 120 | 100 |
Equity | 82 | 286 | 544 | 859 | 1216 | 1616 |
Exhibit 3: Information from Comparable Companies & Beta Calculations
Sales (millions) | Tax Rate | D/E | Levered Beta | Unlevered Beta Calculated | |
BioGas | 1200 | 0.250 | .14 | 1.30 | 1.18 |
H2 Gas | 690 | 0.400 | .07 | 0.85 | 0.82 |
Texas Gas | 2103 | 0.200 | .10 | 1.20 | 1.11 |
CalGas | 1700 | 0.250 | .24 | 1.10 | 0.93 |
Average | 0.280 | 1.01 |
Exhibit 4: Cost of Equity Calculation
4% +1.01 * 2% = 6.02%
Exhibit 5: Debt
Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Beg Debt 200 180 160 140 120 Payments 20 20 20 20 20 End Debt 180 160 140 120 100
Exhibit 6: Subsidiary Schedules
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
Depreciation Calculation | ||||||
EBITDA | 226 | 286 | 350 | 394 | 439 | |
-EBIT | 271 | 336 | 407 | 457 | 510 | |
Depreciation | 45 | 50 | 57 | 63 | 71 | |
Cap Ex Calculation | ||||||
Beg Net PPE | 160 | 176 | 194 | 213 | 234 | |
End Net PPE | 176 | 194 | 213 | 234 | 258 | |
Depreciation | 45 | 50 | 57 | 63 | 71 | |
CapEx | 61 | 68 | 76 | 84 | 95 | |
FCF/DCF Calculation | ||||||
EBITDA | 226 | 286 | 350 | 394 | 439 | |
+Interest | 16 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | |
-Principal Pmt | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | |
-Tax | 45 | 50 | 57 | 63 | 71 | |
+CapEx | 61 | 68 | 76 | 84 | 95 | |
-Chg NWC | 155 | 178 | 205 | 233 | 258 | |
FCF | 83 | 113 | 144 | 157 | 178 | |
DIscount Factor | .943 | .888 | .836 | .787 | .742 | |
DCF (including TV 73/.742) | 924 | 88 | 127 | 172 | 199 | 240 |
Tax Shield Cash Flow Calculation | ||||||
Interest Expense | 16 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | |
Interest Tax Shield | 3.2 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 2 | |
TV | 10 | |||||
Present Value Factor | .940 | .883 | .830 | .780 | .733 | |
PV | 25 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 15.1 |
-Control Premium | 47 | |||||
Enterprise Value | 902 | |||||
-(Debt +Cash) | 50 | |||||
Equity Value | 852 |
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