Question
You are a manager at Percolated? Fibre, which is considering expanding its operations in synthetic fibre manufacturing. Your boss comes into your? office, drops a?
You are a manager at Percolated? Fibre, which is considering expanding its operations in synthetic fibre manufacturing. Your boss comes into your? office, drops a? consultant's report on your? desk, and? complains, "We owe these consultants $ 1.7million for this? report, and I am not sure their analysis makes sense. Before we spend the $22.2million on new equipment needed for this? project, look it over and give me your? opinion." You open the report and find the following estimates? (in millions of? dollars):
PROJECT YEARS
EARNINGS FORECAST | 1 | 2 | ... | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
SALES REVENUE | 26000 | 26000 | 26000 | 26000 | |
COST OF GOODS SOLD | 15600 | 15600 | 15600 | 15600 | |
=GROSS PROFIT | 10400 | 10400 | 10400 | 10400 | |
-GENERAL, SALES AND ADMINISTRATION EXPENSES | 1776 | 1776 | 1776 | 1776 | |
-DEPRECIATION | 2220 | 2220 | 2220 | 2220 | |
=NET OPERATING PROFIT | 6404 | 6404 | 6404 | 6404 | |
-INCOME TAX | 1921 | 1921 | 1921 | 1921 | |
=NET PROFIT | 4483 | 4483 | 4483 | 4483 |
All of the estimates in the report seem correct. You note that the consultants used? straight-line depreciation for the new equipment that will be purchased today? (year 0), which is what the accounting department recommended. They also calculated the depreciation assuming no salvage value for the? equipment, which is the? company's assumption in this case. The report concludes that because the project will increase earnings by $ 4.483million per year for ten? years, the project is worth $ 44.83 million. You think back to your glory days in finance class and realise there is more work to be? done!First, you note that the consultants have not factored in the fact that the project will require $ 9.3million in net working capital up front? (year 0), which will be fully recovered in year 10.? Next, you see they have attributed $ 1.776million of? selling, general and administrative expenses to the? project, but you know that $ 0.88 million of this amount is overhead that will be incurred even if the project is not accepted.? Finally, you know that accounting earnings are not the right thing to focus? on!
a. Given the available? information, what are the free cash flows in years 0 to 10 that should be used to evaluate the proposed? project?
b. If the cost of capital for this project is 8 %, what is your estimate of the value of the new? project?
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