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You are asked to calculate the NPV of a vineyard project by constructing a proper DCF model. The current price of the relevant grapes is

You are asked to calculate the NPV of a vineyard project by constructing a proper DCF model.
The current price of the relevant grapes is $1,500/tn. Historically, grape prices have grown on average by 3.5% per year and the standard deviation of the log-returns on Texas grapes has, historically, been 10%. Your client uses a WACC of 12% for similar projects but is unsure whether this would be an appropriate RADR for this project. The land that your client is thinking of purchasing has a yield of 4 tons of grapes per acre. Yields are not expected until 3 years after the land has started to be cultivated. Capital expenditure is depreciated linearly over 10 years, and the corporate tax rate is 37.5%. You are asked to advise on the optimal time to invest in a winery.
Given data:
*Required investment to establish a vineyard ($/acre):
Year 1:
2500 for land purchase
2000 for equipment
4400 for site preparation and planting
3500 for Trellis construction
1300 for Drip irrigation & install
1800 for Cultural practices
Year2:
1800 for Cultural practices
Year3:
1800 for Cultural practices
**Average Annual Operating Costs ($/acre):
622 for Chemical cost
2500 for Labour
300 for Harvesting
424 for Maintenance
113 for Irrigation

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