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You are going to try out the famous Monty Hall brain teaser. This brain teaser is in the form of a probability puzzle that is

You are going to try out the famous Monty Hall brain teaser. This brain teaser is in the form of a probability puzzle that is originally based off an old television game show called Let's Make a Deal. The problem is named after the host, Monty Hall. The problem is:

You are to pretend that you are on the game show. You have an opportunity to win a new car that is located behind ONE of THREE doors. You select door #1. The host adds a twist, and reveals opens up door #3 for you, showing that there is a goat behind it. The big question is, "Do you stick with door #1, or do you switch to door #2?" Do the odds increase either way?

In discussion post must:

  1. Write down your initial instinct of what you would do if on the game show.
  2. Based on what you've learned about probability and statistics, how would you solve the problem and figure out your odds for staying with door #1, and if switching to door #2? Explain.
  3. Once you have solved the problem, reflect on why you think so many people may get upset at this brain teaser?

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