Question
You are going to try out the famous Monty Hall brain teaser. This brain teaser is in the form of a probability puzzle that is
You are going to try out the famous Monty Hall brain teaser. This brain teaser is in the form of a probability puzzle that is originally based off an old television game show called Let's Make a Deal. The problem is named after the host, Monty Hall. The problem is:
You are to pretend that you are on the game show. You have an opportunity to win a new car that is located behind ONE of THREE doors. You select door #1. The host adds a twist, and reveals opens up door #3 for you, showing that there is a goat behind it. The big question is, "Do you stick with door #1, or do you switch to door #2?" Do the odds increase either way?
In discussion post must:
- Write down your initial instinct of what you would do if on the game show.
- Based on what you've learned about probability and statistics, how would you solve the problem and figure out your odds for staying with door #1, and if switching to door #2? Explain.
- Once you have solved the problem, reflect on why you think so many people may get upset at this brain teaser?
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