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You are in the library diligently studying for your exam, and your friend is trying to get your attention using only two words. She has

You are in the library diligently studying for your exam, and your friend is trying to get your attention using only two words. She has said a word but you couldn't hear one of the words:

( W1= hi, W2= yo, W3= ?, W4= yo )

Assume that your friend was generating words from thisfirst-order Markov model:

P( hi | hi ) = 0.60,

P( yo | hi ) = 0.30,

P( hi | yo ) = 0.50,

P( yo | yo ) = 0.50

Given these parameters, what is theposterior probabilityof whether the missing word is"hi"or"yo" ?

Hint:CalculateP( W3 |. W1 , W2, W4 ) 

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