You are the deputy director of the trading company "A", which sells fruit and vegetable products.

The activity of the enterprise is significantly influenced by the factor of seasonality and the indicator of trade has pronounced seasonal fluctuations, which largely depends on the organization of the process of customer service. By 2020, the total annual turnover is expected in the amount of 2500 thousand UAH.

Tasks:

1. Calculate the forecast for the turnover of a company for the next year.

2. What factors of the environment cause seasonal fluctuations in the trade in fruit and vegetable products?

3. Build a "Tree of Goals" in order to reduce the negative impact of seasonality on the company's activities.

4. Make a note to the director of the company, in which analyze the turnover of the company by months over the past three years and predict the seasonal wave of turnover for 2020 and:

• make suggestions on some sort of seasonal smoothness.
• propose solutions to the problem of availability with the required staff.

Seasonal fluctuations of turnover of the trading company "A"

thousand UAH

Years and Indicators	Turnover for the month												Total for the year
1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
1. 2017	70	79	90	108	136	160	197	208	182	150	121	86
2. 2018	76	90	107	134	149	192	220	233	212	190	111	93
3. 2019	73	84	102	136	154	190	214	238	216	171	124	95
Forecast for 2020													2500

Variant 1	Variant 2	Variant 3
1. Calculate the forecast for the turnover of a company for the next year. 2. What factors of the environment cause seasonal fluctuations in the trade in fruit and vegetable products? 3. Build a "Tree of Goals" in order to reduce the negative impact of seasonality on the company's activities.	1. Calculate the forecast for the turnover of a company for the next year. 2. What factors of the environment cause seasonal fluctuations in the trade in fruit and vegetable products? 3. Make a note to the director of the company, in which analyze the turnover of the company by months over the past three years and predict the seasonal wave of turnover for 2020, make suggestions on some sort of seasonal smoothness.	1. Calculate the forecast for the turnover of a company for the next year. 2. What factors of the environment cause seasonal fluctuations in the trade in fruit and vegetable products? 3. Make a note to the director of the company, in which analyze the turnover of the company over the past three years and predict the seasonal wave of turnover for 2020, propose solutions to the problem of availability with the required staff.